TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145260
Played Sep 17Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711511119311––
Radomir Benesz
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 57.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 6–7 Radomir Benesz Patrik Jokiel has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1257 vs Benesz 1320
Benesz
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 0% vs Benesz 40%
Benesz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 0% vs Benesz 30%
Benesz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -5 · Benesz +2
Jokiel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jokiel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.61 / Benesz 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jokiel)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13145260
Jokiel1.61
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Benesz2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJokiel6wins
AwayBenesz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel60%3 of 5
AwayBenesz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel5Benesz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jokiel4Benesz6n = 10Benesz took 6 of 10
S3Jokiel7Benesz3n = 10Jokiel took 7 of 10
S4Jokiel5Benesz4n = 9Jokiel took 5 of 9
S5Jokiel2Benesz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJokielBeneszJ − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.1+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 442 vs 78 / 21145.9%37%203 / 442 vs 78 / 211Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielJokiel 1.61/Benesz 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benesz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel187560R. Benesz331111113
WJun 11 · 18:45P. Jokiel48961111113R. Benesz4511116982
LMay 29 · 18:15P. Jokiel331110841R. Benesz4061211113
WMar 17 · 19:45P. Jokiel4691115113R. Benesz391191361
LMar 6 · 22:15P. Jokiel48118118102R. Benesz49811711123
WMar 6 · 19:10P. Jokiel43111011113R. Benesz33512971
LFeb 24 · 18:09P. Jokiel44101113462R. Benesz521271111113
WFeb 24 · 16:40P. Jokiel49111179113R. Benesz4688111182
WFeb 23 · 19:10P. Jokiel4312911113R. Benesz351011591
WFeb 15 · 20:10P. Jokiel45101311113R. Benesz391211971
P. Jokiel10
LSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113LSep 17 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.73381261M. Dolezal2.00111110113LSep 17 · 08:45J. Matus1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91411761LSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113LSep 17 · 06:40P. Jokiel1.838470J. Sindler1.831111113LSep 17 · 05:40P. Jokiel1.5771350J. Matus2.251115113LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113LSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371LSep 16 · 18:10O. Kus1.8011711113P. Jokiel1.91811961
R. Benesz10
WSep 17 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8371411113M. Dolezal1.831112251WSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123LSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113LSep 15 · 13:40M. Lorenc1.6111911143R. Benesz2.204119121LSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971
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