TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134362
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Lorenc
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1149111191412––
Radomir Benesz
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Lorenc to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Lorenc above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 81 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Martin Lorenc at 57.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Martin Lorenc 1–0 Radomir Benesz Radomir Benesz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lorenc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lorenc 1494 vs Benesz 1342
Lorenc
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lorenc 60% vs Benesz 20%
Lorenc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lorenc 70% vs Benesz 30%
Lorenc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lorenc +2 · Benesz -3
Benesz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lorenc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLorenc 1.61 / Benesz 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Lorenc)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134362
Lorenc1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19
Benesz2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLorenc1wins
AwayBenesz0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLorenc leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLorencBeneszL − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.041.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLorencBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 140 vs 76 / 20644.3%36.9%62 / 140 vs 76 / 206Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LorencLorenc 1.61/Benesz 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Lorenc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lorenc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc46117116113R. Benesz4161161172
M. Lorenc10
WSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391WSep 9 · 17:15M. Lorenc1.85129119113O. Vaclahovsky1.85101171182WSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 14:45M. Lorenc1.8015650L. Zustina1.911711113WSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102LSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571WSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153WSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192
R. Benesz10
LSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113LSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113
Upcoming Matches
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R. Benesz
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