TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13104274
Played Sep 9Finished
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16141214114118––
Radomir Benesz
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeOldrich Vaclahovsky to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOldrich Vaclahovsky above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 90 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oldrich Vaclahovsky at 61.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Vaclahovsky 7–5 Radomir Benesz Radomir Benesz has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vaclahovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Vaclahovsky
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclahovsky 1423 vs Benesz 1367
Vaclahovsky
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclahovsky 80% vs Benesz 40%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclahovsky 80% vs Benesz 40%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclahovsky -1 · Benesz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vaclahovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclahovsky 1.53 / Benesz 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13104274
Vaclahovsky1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 33 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Benesz2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVaclahovsky7wins
AwayBenesz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVaclahovsky leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVaclahovsky80%4 of 5
AwayBenesz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclahovsky5Benesz5n = 10split evenly
S2Vaclahovsky4Benesz6n = 10Benesz took 6 of 10
S3Vaclahovsky6Benesz4n = 10Vaclahovsky took 6 of 10
S4Vaclahovsky3Benesz3n = 6split evenly
S5Vaclahovsky4Benesz0n = 4Vaclahovsky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVaclahovskyBeneszV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.6+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclahovskyBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 250 vs 76 / 20346.8%37.4%117 / 250 vs 76 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyVaclahovsky 1.53/Benesz 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 19:10O. Vaclahovsky—1211113R. Benesz—10230
WJun 18 · 20:38O. Vaclahovsky—511136163R. Benesz—1171111142
WJun 18 · 17:40O. Vaclahovsky—591111113R. Benesz—11113772
WMay 29 · 21:20O. Vaclahovsky—971111113R. Benesz—11119592
WMay 29 · 19:15O. Vaclahovsky—111110113R. Benesz—981251
LMay 27 · 20:15O. Vaclahovsky—94140R. Benesz—1111163
WFeb 23 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky—1111113R. Benesz—6850
LFeb 17 · 21:45O. Vaclahovsky—117991R. Benesz—91111113
WFeb 17 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky—115126103R. Benesz—811101182
LFeb 15 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky—6950R. Benesz—1111103
O. Vaclahovsky10
LSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102WSep 7 · 13:15O. Vaclahovsky1.6871311123L. Jr1.9911119101WSep 7 · 11:45O. Vaclahovsky2.101111113L. Jr1.676990WSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131WSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113
R. Benesz10
LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz1.8351211113L. Zustina1.831110971LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.