TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103452
Played Sep 9Finished
Radomir Benesz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111210119117––
Lukas Zustina
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Zustina to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Zustina at 61.7%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zustina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Benesz 1355 vs Zustina 1353
Benesz
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benesz 20% vs Zustina 60%
Zustina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benesz 40% vs Zustina 60%
Zustina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benesz -2 · Zustina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zustina) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenesz 1.83 / Zustina 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zustina)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13103452
Benesz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zustina1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeneszZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 202 vs 47 / 9837.1%48%75 / 202 vs 47 / 98Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZustinaBenesz 1.83/Zustina 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zustina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benesz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Benesz10
LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370WJun 28 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6138110R. Benesz2.201111133WJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel1.677560R. Benesz2.101111113
L. Zustina10
WSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111WSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113LSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880
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