TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101527
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Sevecek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111179111412711
Lukas Zustina
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:49 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJan Sevecek to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Sevecek above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Sevecek at 55.4%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jan Sevecek 2–3 Lukas Zustina Jan Sevecek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sevecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sevecek 1471 vs Zustina 1323
Sevecek
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sevecek 80% vs Zustina 20%
Sevecek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sevecek 60% vs Zustina 40%
Sevecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sevecek +1 · Zustina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sevecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zustina form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSevecek 1.67 / Zustina 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sevecek)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13101527
Sevecek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Zustina2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSevecek2wins
AwayZustina3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderZustina leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSevecek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZustinan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sevecek3Zustina2n = 5Sevecek took 3 of 5
S2Sevecek2Zustina3n = 5Zustina took 3 of 5
S3Sevecek3Zustina2n = 5Sevecek took 3 of 5
S4Sevecek2Zustina1n = 3Sevecek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSevecekZustinaS − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.438.4−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSevecekZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 139 vs 45 / 9659%46.9%82 / 139 vs 45 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekSevecek 1.67/Zustina 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zustina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 30 · 17:18J. Sevecek—1111113L. Zustina—9340
LJul 30 · 15:10J. Sevecek—11912582L. Zustina—8111011113
WJul 30 · 12:54J. Sevecek—11514163L. Zustina—71112141
LJul 30 · 09:40J. Sevecek—511511102L. Zustina—118115123
LFeb 25 · 11:10J. Sevecek—51060L. Zustina—1112113
J. Sevecek10
LSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111WSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692LSep 9 · 09:45J. Sevecek1.675111091L. Jr2.1011312113WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992
L. Zustina10
WSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111LSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
Upcoming Matches
J. Sevecek
Nothing scheduled
L. Zustina
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.