TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13104075
Played Sep 9Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
61114121191311––
Jan Sevecek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Jan Sevecek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 87 set 4, 13-11
87 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zustina 4–2 Jan Sevecek Jan Sevecek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Zustina beat Sevecek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sevecek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 2.10 / Sevecek 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sevecek)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13104075
Zustina2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Sevecek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZustina4wins
AwaySevecek2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderZustina leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZustina100%3 of 3
AwaySevecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zustina3Sevecek3n = 6split evenly
S2Zustina3Sevecek3n = 6split evenly
S3Zustina3Sevecek3n = 6split evenly
S4Zustina1Sevecek3n = 4Sevecek took 3 of 4
S5Zustina3Sevecek0n = 3Zustina took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZustinaSevecekZ − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.739.0+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaSevecekBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 97 vs 82 / 14047.4%58.6%46 / 97 vs 82 / 140Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SevecekZustina 2.10/Sevecek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Sevecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zustina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 9 · 11:45L. Zustina—1171112113J. Sevecek—61191472
LJul 30 · 17:18L. Zustina—9340J. Sevecek—1111113
WJul 30 · 15:10L. Zustina—8111011113J. Sevecek—11912582
LJul 30 · 12:54L. Zustina—71112141J. Sevecek—11514163
WJul 30 · 09:40L. Zustina—118115123J. Sevecek—511511102
WFeb 25 · 11:10L. Zustina—1112113J. Sevecek—51060
L. Zustina10
WSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113LSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382WSep 3 · 14:15L. Zustina1.7312118113L. Jr2.001091131WSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172WSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
J. Sevecek10
LSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113WSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692LSep 9 · 09:45J. Sevecek1.675111091L. Jr2.1011312113WSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113WSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113LAug 28 · 09:08J. Sevecek1.8011118792J. Sindler1.91691111113WAug 28 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.50111147133A. Strelec2.50991111112WAug 28 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.80711911113J. Sindler1.9111711992
Upcoming Matches
L. Zustina
J. Sevecek
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