TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103828
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Lorenc
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711116611117
Radomir Benesz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Lorenc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Lorenc above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 87 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Lorenc at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lorenc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lorenc 1467 vs Benesz 1357
Lorenc
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lorenc 60% vs Benesz 40%
Lorenc
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lorenc 60% vs Benesz 30%
Lorenc
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lorenc -1 · Benesz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lorenc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLorenc 1.80 / Benesz 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lorenc)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13103828
Lorenc1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 21 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Benesz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLorencBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 138 vs 76 / 20443.5%37.3%60 / 138 vs 76 / 204Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LorencLorenc 1.80/Benesz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lorenc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lorenc won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Lorenc10
LSep 9 · 14:45M. Lorenc1.8015650L. Zustina1.911711113WSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102LSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571WSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153WSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.0061111592J. Sevecek1.73117611113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120
R. Benesz10
LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz1.8351211113L. Zustina1.831110971LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370
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