TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105212
Played Sep 9Finished
Radomir Benesz
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311911611––––
Lukas Zustina
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Zustina to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Lukas Zustina at 64.6%
51 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Benesz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Benesz 1361 vs Zustina 1338
Benesz
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benesz 20% vs Zustina 60%
Zustina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benesz 20% vs Zustina 50%
Zustina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benesz -4 · Zustina -1
Benesz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benesz) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenesz 1.73 / Zustina 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benesz)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13105212
Benesz1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite31% won 5 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Zustina1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeneszZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 204 vs 48 / 10036.8%48%75 / 204 vs 48 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeneszBenesz 1.73/Zustina 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benesz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zustina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz—51211113L. Zustina—1110971
R. Benesz10
LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940
L. Zustina10
LSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 14:45M. Lorenc1.8015650L. Zustina1.911711113LSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971WSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111WSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113LSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382
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