TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103351
Played Sep 9Finished
Lukas Zustina
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113511––––
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOldrich Vaclahovsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oldrich Vaclahovsky at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zustina 1–2 Oldrich Vaclahovsky Lukas Zustina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vaclahovsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zustina 1361 vs Vaclahovsky 1433
Vaclahovsky
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zustina 60% vs Vaclahovsky 80%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zustina 50% vs Vaclahovsky 80%
Vaclahovsky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zustina +1 · Vaclahovsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclahovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZustina 1.91 / Vaclahovsky 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13103351
Zustina1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Vaclahovsky1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 33 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZustina1wins
AwayVaclahovsky2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVaclahovsky leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zustina1Vaclahovsky2n = 3Vaclahovsky took 2 of 3
S2Zustina2Vaclahovsky1n = 3Zustina took 2 of 3
S3Zustina0Vaclahovsky3n = 3Vaclahovsky took 3 of 3
S4Zustina2Vaclahovsky1n = 3Zustina took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZustinaVaclahovskyZ − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.040.3−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZustinaVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 100 vs 118 / 25148%47%48 / 100 vs 118 / 251Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyZustina 1.91/Vaclahovsky 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 4 · 09:45L. Zustina—116961O. Vaclahovsky—71111113
LApr 1 · 09:25L. Zustina—61181142O. Vaclahovsky—116114113
WApr 1 · 07:15L. Zustina—611911113O. Vaclahovsky—11411572
L. Zustina10
WSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113WSep 9 · 14:45M. Lorenc1.8015650L. Zustina1.911711113LSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971WSep 9 · 12:44L. Zustina2.1061411133J. Sevecek1.6711129111WSep 9 · 11:45J. Sevecek1.6761191472L. Zustina2.101171112113LSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr2.0012911113L. Zustina1.731011991LSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113WSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 15:15F. Mandrysz2.1011111111113L. Zustina1.6713881382
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481LSep 9 · 13:45M. Lorenc1.801191211123O. Vaclahovsky1.91511149102WSep 7 · 13:15O. Vaclahovsky1.6871311123L. Jr1.9911119101WSep 7 · 11:45O. Vaclahovsky2.101111113L. Jr1.676990WSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131WSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Zustina
Nothing scheduled
O. Vaclahovsky1 of 1 neutral
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