TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143534
Played Sep 17Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411711––––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 9–5 Jaroslav Sindler Jaroslav Sindler has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:16What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Jokiel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1286 vs Sindler 1448
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 0% vs Sindler 80%
Sindler
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 30% vs Sindler 80%
Sindler
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -5 · Sindler +1
Jokiel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.83 / Sindler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13143534
Jokiel1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sindler1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJokiel5wins
AwaySindler5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel75%3 of 4
AwaySindler66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel4Sindler6n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S2Jokiel5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S3Jokiel5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S4Jokiel5Sindler3n = 8Jokiel took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJokielSindlerJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.837.3+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 439 vs 411 / 79246.2%51.9%203 / 439 vs 411 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerJokiel 1.83/Sindler 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:40P. Jokiel198470J. Sindler331111113
WAug 21 · 11:10P. Jokiel4011117113J. Sindler27821161
WAug 19 · 16:54P. Jokiel331111113J. Sindler175570
LAug 19 · 13:40P. Jokiel4211111191J. Sindler4361313113
WAug 17 · 16:49P. Jokiel4011414113J. Sindler337111231
WAug 17 · 15:15P. Jokiel5911141112113J. Sindler53131681062
LAug 15 · 07:45P. Jokiel43101171142J. Sindler45127114113
LAug 9 · 07:40P. Jokiel377111181J. Sindler4111136113
WJul 5 · 12:40P. Jokiel4551112173J. Sindler4411810151
LJul 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel30711751J. Sindler3711411113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 17 · 05:40P. Jokiel1.5771350J. Matus2.251115113LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113LSep 16 · 18:40K. Zeman1.91111111113P. Jokiel1.80671371LSep 16 · 18:10O. Kus1.8011711113P. Jokiel1.91811961LSep 14 · 21:18O. Skvor1.5791312113P. Jokiel2.2511111061LSep 14 · 20:15O. Skvor1.50119811113P. Jokiel2.5091111642WSep 14 · 19:15P. Jokiel2.00911118113O. Kus1.7311971192WSep 14 · 17:45K. Zeman1.9157111192P. Jokiel1.80111164113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Drozd1.6291111692P. Jokiel2.15118611113
J. Sindler10
WSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad2.006111061J. Sindler1.7311612113LSep 16 · 13:20J. Sindler1.7363100M. Lorenc2.001111123WSep 16 · 12:15J. Sindler1.53111248113L. Jr2.38610111172WSep 16 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.8361112101J. Sindler1.8311514123WSep 16 · 10:15L. Zustina2.25861191J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 16 · 09:20J. Sindler1.36101111113R. Zajac3.00124971LSep 16 · 07:45L. Zustina2.2511117113J. Sindler1.57791171WSep 16 · 07:15R. Zajac2.631147121J. Sindler1.4491111143WSep 16 · 06:15J. Sindler1.6171111113L. Snr2.20118661WSep 14 · 13:04J. Sindler1.5013119113L. Jr2.501141181
Upcoming Matches
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