TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13143175
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111161012611––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 69.0% is still 69.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
69.0%
69.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 69.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlad 4–11 Jaroslav Sindler Petr Chlad has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Sindler
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1434 vs Sindler 1448
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 20% vs Sindler 80%
Sindler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 40% vs Sindler 80%
Sindler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad -1 · Sindler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 2.00 / Sindler 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sindler)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13143175
Chlad2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 25 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 16 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Sindler1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 129 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it69% 83 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlad3wins
AwaySindler7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChladn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySindler75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad2Sindler8n = 10Sindler took 8 of 10
S2Chlad4Sindler6n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Chlad7Sindler3n = 10Chlad took 7 of 10
S4Chlad5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S5Chlad1Sindler3n = 4Sindler took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChladSindlerC − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.4−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 277 vs 411 / 79248.4%51.9%134 / 277 vs 411 / 792Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerChlad 2.00/Sindler 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad336111061J. Sindler4011612113
WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad3741111113J. Sindler35117891
LAug 6 · 06:45P. Chlad31711491J. Sindler3711411113
LAug 5 · 06:45P. Chlad4811891192J. Sindler47911115113
LAug 3 · 06:45P. Chlad516101111132J. Sindler51111258153
LJul 24 · 16:48P. Chlad26641151J. Sindler3511112113
LJul 24 · 14:10P. Chlad30741181J. Sindler4011117113
LJul 14 · 14:40P. Chlad4387111162J. Sindler45111166113
WJul 11 · 14:10P. Chlad4311911123J. Sindler336116101
WJul 10 · 14:10P. Chlad50911118113J. Sindler4111671162
P. Chlad10
WSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113WSep 17 · 07:10J. Matus2.25451181P. Chlad1.5711115113LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123WSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391LSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171
J. Sindler10
WSep 17 · 08:10J. Sindler1.7311125113J. Matus2.006101151WSep 17 · 06:40P. Jokiel1.838470J. Sindler1.831111113LSep 16 · 13:20J. Sindler1.7363100M. Lorenc2.001111123WSep 16 · 12:15J. Sindler1.53111248113L. Jr2.38610111172WSep 16 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.8361112101J. Sindler1.8311514123WSep 16 · 10:15L. Zustina2.25861191J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 16 · 09:20J. Sindler1.36101111113R. Zajac3.00124971LSep 16 · 07:45L. Zustina2.2511117113J. Sindler1.57791171WSep 16 · 07:15R. Zajac2.631147121J. Sindler1.4491111143WSep 16 · 06:15J. Sindler1.6171111113L. Snr2.20118661
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