TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134365
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116118119––
Radomir Benesz
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Petr Chlad at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlad 2–1 Radomir Benesz Radomir Benesz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chlad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1420 vs Benesz 1316
Chlad
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 20% vs Benesz 0%
Chlad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 40% vs Benesz 20%
Chlad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad -4 · Benesz -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chlad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.67 / Benesz 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Chlad)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134365
Chlad1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 30 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Benesz2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChlad2wins
AwayBenesz1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderChlad leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad1Benesz2n = 3Benesz took 2 of 3
S2Chlad1Benesz2n = 3Benesz took 2 of 3
S3Chlad1Benesz2n = 3Benesz took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricChladBeneszC − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.740.3+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 272 vs 76 / 20848.2%36.5%131 / 272 vs 76 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.67/Benesz 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 5 · 18:15P. Chlad559131111113R. Benesz4811159762
LJan 30 · 18:45P. Chlad2171040R. Benesz341112113
WDec 20 · 20:15P. Chlad49111179113R. Benesz3957111152
P. Chlad10
LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123LSep 15 · 14:40M. Lorenc1.8091111113P. Chlad1.91117391LSep 15 · 14:10T. Ogrocki2.20111111113P. Chlad1.61813681LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad2.0041111113J. Sindler1.73117891LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113
R. Benesz10
WSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123LSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113LSep 15 · 13:40M. Lorenc1.6111911143R. Benesz2.204119121LSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113LSep 9 · 15:45M. Lorenc1.80117116113R. Benesz1.9161161172LSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481WSep 9 · 14:15R. Benesz2.0051211113L. Zustina1.731110971LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.