TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137422
Played Sep 16Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210411811117
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 65.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 20–19 Lukas Krupnik Jr Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-19 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1439 vs Jr 1373
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Jr 40%
Sindler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 90% vs Jr 50%
Sindler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +3 · Jr +1
Sindler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sindler)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13137422
Sindler1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 124 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it69% 81 of 118
Jr2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 80 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back38% 26 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler7wins
AwayJr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler100%5 of 5
AwayJr60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Sindler7Jr3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S3Sindler4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Sindler9Jr1n = 10Sindler took 9 of 10
S5Sindler2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJrS − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.937.6+5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJrBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 788 vs 240 / 45351.8%53%408 / 788 vs 240 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 13:04J. Sindler4413119113L. Jr341141181
WSep 14 · 11:40J. Sindler4211119113L. Jr28651161
LSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler4141191162L. Jr45114118113
WSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler4111118113L. Jr29761151
LAug 11 · 11:45J. Sindler3961111742L. Jr48117811113
WJul 29 · 14:45J. Sindler4291111113L. Jr23116511
WJul 16 · 13:15J. Sindler54991114113L. Jr51111181292
WJul 16 · 11:15J. Sindler45117511113L. Jr4111111992
LJul 11 · 09:40J. Sindler4476111192L. Jr47111186113
WJul 10 · 12:40J. Sindler3711114113L. Jr30831181
J. Sindler10
LSep 16 · 13:20J. Sindler1.7363100M. Lorenc2.001111123WSep 16 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.8361112101J. Sindler1.8311514123WSep 16 · 10:15L. Zustina2.25861191J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 16 · 09:20J. Sindler1.36101111113R. Zajac3.00124971LSep 16 · 07:45L. Zustina2.2511117113J. Sindler1.57791171WSep 16 · 07:15R. Zajac2.631147121J. Sindler1.4491111143WSep 16 · 06:15J. Sindler1.6171111113L. Snr2.20118661WSep 14 · 13:04J. Sindler1.5013119113L. Jr2.501141181WSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113
L. Jr10
WSep 16 · 12:48L. Jr1.531111113L. Zustina2.388670WSep 16 · 11:15L. Jr1.73111111113L. Zustina2.00139571LSep 16 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.44111111113L. Jr2.63135881LSep 14 · 13:04J. Sindler1.5013119113L. Jr2.501141181LSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692WSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 13 · 21:23J. Oleksik1.859112101L. Jr1.8511911123WSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.