TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129423
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311114911118––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8
78 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 19–19 Lukas Krupnik Jr Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sindler beat Jr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.50 / Jr 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sindler)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13129423
Sindler1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 119 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it68% 77 of 114
Jr2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 80 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwayJr4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler100%4 of 4
AwayJr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Sindler7Jr3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S3Sindler4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Sindler8Jr2n = 10Sindler took 8 of 10
S5Sindler2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.138.5+3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJrBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 781 vs 239 / 45051.5%53.1%402 / 781 vs 239 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.50/Jr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 11:40J. Sindler4211119113L. Jr28651161
LSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler4141191162L. Jr45114118113
WSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler4111118113L. Jr29761151
LAug 11 · 11:45J. Sindler3961111742L. Jr48117811113
WJul 29 · 14:45J. Sindler4291111113L. Jr23116511
WJul 16 · 13:15J. Sindler54991114113L. Jr51111181292
WJul 16 · 11:15J. Sindler45117511113L. Jr4111111992
LJul 11 · 09:40J. Sindler4476111192L. Jr47111186113
WJul 10 · 12:40J. Sindler3711114113L. Jr30831181
LJul 10 · 09:40J. Sindler36912871L. Jr43111011113
J. Sindler10
WSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113WSep 14 · 10:10J. Sindler1.7311911123P. Sturma2.007117101WSep 14 · 09:05P. Sturma2.0011741112J. Sindler1.73711119113LSep 14 · 07:40J. Sindler1.737990A. Strelec2.001111113WSep 14 · 06:40J. Sindler1.731011711123J. Matus2.00123117102LSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 13 · 09:15D. Stefek1.80714101392J. Sindler1.9111121211113WSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113WSep 13 · 07:15R. Jancak2.509670J. Sindler1.501111113
L. Jr10
LSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692WSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 13 · 21:23J. Oleksik1.859112101L. Jr1.8511911123WSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 18:15L. Jr1.83111111592J. Oleksik1.83813911113LSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113WSep 12 · 19:15L. Jr1.6191111113P. Sturma2.20117861
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