TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13140326
Played Sep 16Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Lukas Zustina
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Lukas Zustina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7
54 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 2–1 Lukas Zustina Lukas Zustina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jr beat Zustina 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zustina form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.53 / Zustina 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Jr)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13140326
Jr1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 76 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Zustina2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog60% won 12 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayZustina1wins
Jr leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr1Zustina2n = 3Zustina took 2 of 3
S2Jr1Zustina2n = 3Zustina took 2 of 3
S3Jr3Zustina0n = 3Jr took 3 of 3
S4Jr2Zustina1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJrZustinaJ − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.038.3+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZustinaBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 454 vs 50 / 10952.9%45.9%240 / 454 vs 50 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.53/Zustina 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 11:15L. Jr44111111113L. Zustina34139571
WSep 9 · 11:15L. Jr4312911113L. Zustina391011991
LSep 3 · 14:15L. Jr331091131L. Zustina4212118113
L. Jr10
LSep 16 · 12:15J. Sindler1.53111248113L. Jr2.38610111172WSep 16 · 11:15L. Jr1.73111111113L. Zustina2.00139571LSep 16 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.44111111113L. Jr2.63135881LSep 14 · 13:04J. Sindler1.5013119113L. Jr2.501141181LSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692WSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 13 · 21:23J. Oleksik1.859112101L. Jr1.8511911123WSep 13 · 19:45M. Dolezal1.53105100L. Jr2.381211123LSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192
L. Zustina10
LSep 16 · 11:45M. Lorenc2.251111113L. Zustina1.577790LSep 16 · 11:15L. Jr1.73111111113L. Zustina2.00139571LSep 16 · 10:15L. Zustina2.25861191J. Sindler1.5711119113LSep 16 · 08:50L. Snr1.571111113L. Zustina2.253770WSep 16 · 07:45L. Zustina2.2511117113J. Sindler1.57791171LSep 16 · 06:45L. Zustina1.834970L. Snr1.831111113LSep 16 · 05:45L. Zustina1.6710770R. Zajac2.101211113WSep 9 · 16:45R. Benesz1.733960L. Zustina1.981111113LSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 14:45M. Lorenc1.8015650L. Zustina1.911711113
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