TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1185111189111210
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:15 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 55.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 1–2 Ondrej Skvor Filip Theodor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1452 vs Skvor 1439
Theodor
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 40% vs Skvor 60%
Skvor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 60% vs Skvor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor -1 · Skvor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 2.25 / Skvor 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skvor)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13168628
Theodor2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 24 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Skvor1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 51 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it64% 33 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTheodor1wins
AwaySkvor2wins
Skvor leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor2Skvor1n = 3Theodor took 2 of 3
S2Theodor1Skvor2n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
S3Theodor1Skvor2n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTheodorSkvorT − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match26.030.0−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 182 vs 91 / 17646.7%51.7%85 / 182 vs 91 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorTheodor 2.25/Skvor 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor205870O. Skvor331111113
WAug 30 · 17:09F. Theodor331111113O. Skvor178630
LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor25113741O. Skvor4071111113
F. Theodor10
LSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133WSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113LSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931
O. Skvor10
LSep 21 · 16:40O. Coufal1.671111113O. Skvor2.108750LSep 21 · 15:10O. Coufal1.731111133O. Skvor2.0049110WSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251LSep 21 · 13:10O. Skvor1.837990A. Drozd1.831111113WSep 21 · 11:40O. Skvor2.00132111113A. Drozd1.7311191341WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.31911711113M. Klimenta3.2011711882WSep 21 · 09:40O. Skvor1.578121111113P. Jokiel2.2511146392LSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113WSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.