TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811101211413111113
Kamil Przeczek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 104 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 55.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 4–5 Kamil Przeczek Filip Theodor has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1466 vs Przeczek 1368
Theodor
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 60% vs Przeczek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 60% vs Przeczek 40%
Theodor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +2 · Przeczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.91 / Przeczek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13168752
Theodor1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 24 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Przeczek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 22 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTheodor4wins
AwayPrzeczek5wins
1 of 9 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTheodor66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrzeczek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor3Przeczek6n = 9Przeczek took 6 of 9
S2Theodor4Przeczek5n = 9Przeczek took 5 of 9
S3Theodor4Przeczek5n = 9Przeczek took 5 of 9
S4Theodor3Przeczek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricTheodorPrzeczekT − PBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match33.934.3−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 181 vs 78 / 17147%45.6%85 / 181 vs 78 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 1.91/Przeczek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor377811111K. Przeczek4411119133
WSep 3 · 19:15F. Theodor331111113K. Przeczek236890
LAug 6 · 16:15F. Theodor36145891K. Przeczek45121111113
LApr 20 · 20:50F. Theodor199550K. Przeczek331111113
WApr 20 · 19:45F. Theodor3851111113K. Przeczek22114341
LApr 13 · 20:15F. Theodor206770K. Przeczek331111113
WJan 29 · 20:15F. Theodor3741111113K. Przeczek30113971
WJan 15 · 19:45F. Theodor521171211113K. Przeczek4041114382
LDec 9 · 20:40F. Theodor33911671K. Przeczek3911611113
F. Theodor10
WSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113LSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113WSep 10 · 18:10F. Theodor1.5041511113J. Vanous2.501113931LSep 7 · 17:20F. Theodor2.0041111962K. Zeman1.73115811113
K. Przeczek10
LSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251WSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171WSep 14 · 16:15K. Przeczek1.611613113T. Ogrocki2.20141190LSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770WSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691
Upcoming Matches
F. Theodor
Nothing scheduled
K. Przeczek
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