TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811117––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 125–59 Sergii Skhabitskiy Sergii Skhabitskiy has won 59 of their 184 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
125-59 in 184
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 66 in 184, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1397 vs Skhabitskiy 1414
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 80% vs Skhabitskiy 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 70% vs Skhabitskiy 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -1 · Skhabitskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.73 / Skhabitskiy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166169
Mytsyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 162 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it88% 72 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it78% 119 of 153
Skhabitskiy2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk4wins
AwaySkhabitskiy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkhabitskiy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk3Skhabitskiy7n = 10Skhabitskiy took 7 of 10
S2Mytsyk4Skhabitskiy6n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S3Mytsyk5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Mytsyk5Skhabitskiy3n = 8Mytsyk took 5 of 8
S5Mytsyk2Skhabitskiy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykSkhabitskiyM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.7+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1078 vs 476 / 107049.9%44.5%538 / 1078 vs 476 / 1070Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.73/Skhabitskiy 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 08:50O. Mytsyk4291111113S. Skhabitskiy29117651
LSep 14 · 06:50O. Mytsyk35119961S. Skhabitskiy4071111113
LAug 23 · 15:40O. Mytsyk4361191162S. Skhabitskiy47117117113
LAug 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk34681191S. Skhabitskiy4011117113
LAug 20 · 10:20O. Mytsyk26101060S. Skhabitskiy351212113
LAug 19 · 16:30O. Mytsyk45911111132S. Skhabitskiy50111378113
WAug 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk331111113S. Skhabitskiy164750
LAug 16 · 13:30O. Mytsyk366111361S. Skhabitskiy46111311113
WAug 14 · 11:30O. Mytsyk527111211113S. Skhabitskiy4511914652
WAug 12 · 08:05O. Mytsyk43114611113S. Skhabitskiy3951111482
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 21 · 10:05D. Ponomarenko1.831310911113O. Mytsyk1.83111211582WSep 21 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.50481181O. Mytsyk1.5011112113WSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 21 · 10:35S. Skhabitskiy2.001311113M. Stetsenko1.7311680LSep 21 · 08:35O. Ovsiienko1.831111113S. Skhabitskiy1.831140WSep 21 · 06:35V. Mukhin4.336780S. Skhabitskiy1.201111113WSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113WSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113WSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540
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