TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111111114––––
Sergii Skhabitskiy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ovsiienko above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 39 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
39 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ovsiienko 7–16 Sergii Skhabitskiy Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-16 in 23
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovsiienko 1432 vs Skhabitskiy 1415
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Skhabitskiy 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovsiienko 80% vs Skhabitskiy 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovsiienko +1 · Skhabitskiy +4
Skhabitskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skhabitskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvsiienko 1.83 / Skhabitskiy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166115
Ovsiienko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skhabitskiy1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvsiienko5wins
AwaySkhabitskiy5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvsiienko100%5 of 5
AwaySkhabitskiy100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovsiienko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Ovsiienko4Skhabitskiy6n = 10Skhabitskiy took 6 of 10
S3Ovsiienko5Skhabitskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Ovsiienko2Skhabitskiy1n = 3Ovsiienko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvsiienkoSkhabitskiyO − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match29.529.2+0.3per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvsiienkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 875 vs 475 / 106851.8%44.5%453 / 875 vs 475 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyOvsiienko 1.83/Skhabitskiy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 16:00O. Ovsiienko4211119113S. Skhabitskiy22441131
WSep 19 · 08:30O. Ovsiienko331111113S. Skhabitskiy227870
LSep 17 · 05:50O. Ovsiienko363111571S. Skhabitskiy48111313113
WSep 14 · 12:20O. Ovsiienko331111113S. Skhabitskiy186930
LAug 30 · 14:00O. Ovsiienko213990S. Skhabitskiy331111113
LAug 24 · 09:50O. Ovsiienko218760S. Skhabitskiy331111113
WAug 23 · 12:40O. Ovsiienko3911413113S. Skhabitskiy314111151
LAug 21 · 05:05O. Ovsiienko2611960S. Skhabitskiy351311113
LAug 20 · 08:50O. Ovsiienko113620S. Skhabitskiy331111113
WAug 19 · 13:30O. Ovsiienko331111113S. Skhabitskiy177820
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 21 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.00312741O. Ovsiienko1.22111011113WSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Smyk1.50119491O. Ovsiienko2.5081111113WSep 20 · 17:30O. Lipeiko1.3011127982O. Ovsiienko3.409101111113WSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 21 · 06:35V. Mukhin4.336780S. Skhabitskiy1.201111113WSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113WSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113WSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 14:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0011511333V. Smyk1.7341191122WSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890LSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.