TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191210711911811
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 99 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 72.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 3–0 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Oleksandr Ovsiienko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Lipeiko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1439 vs Ovsiienko 1422
Lipeiko
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 60% vs Ovsiienko 100%
Ovsiienko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 60% vs Ovsiienko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +2 · Ovsiienko +5
Ovsiienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lipeiko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.30 / Ovsiienko 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Lipeiko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161715
Lipeiko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 57 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it77% 47 of 61
Ovsiienko3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 76 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLipeiko3wins
AwayOvsiienko0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLipeiko leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko2Ovsiienko1n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
S2Lipeiko2Ovsiienko1n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
S3Lipeiko2Ovsiienko1n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoL − OBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.730.7+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 517 vs 450 / 87148.2%51.7%249 / 517 vs 450 / 871Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.30/Ovsiienko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko331111113O. Ovsiienko197930
WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko46761111113O. Ovsiienko4211119652
WAug 24 · 12:20O. Lipeiko43111110113O. Ovsiienko31851261
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 20 · 15:30V. Smyk2.10711781O. Lipeiko1.6711711113WSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501211113O. Lipeiko1.5010890WSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101LSep 19 · 16:30A. Martyniuk1.3658131183O. Lipeiko3.00111111662LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 14:30B. Zaika1.731112111093O. Lipeiko2.0081451252WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 20 · 18:30V. Smyk1.50119491O. Ovsiienko2.5081111113WSep 20 · 16:00S. Skhabitskiy1.73441131O. Ovsiienko2.0011119113WSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113WSep 19 · 08:30S. Skhabitskiy1.507870O. Ovsiienko2.501111113LSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113LSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930LSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580
Upcoming Matches
O. Lipeiko
Nothing scheduled
O. Ovsiienko
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