TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155848
Played Sep 19Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181214115101295
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Zaika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 9-5
Point 97 set 5, 9-5 — our read held Bohdan Zaika at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 9–8 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zaika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaika 1491 vs Lipeiko 1462
Zaika
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaika 60% vs Lipeiko 100%
Lipeiko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaika 70% vs Lipeiko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaika +1 · Lipeiko +6
Lipeiko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zaika) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 1.73 / Lipeiko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Zaika)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155848
Zaika1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Lipeiko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 47 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaika5wins
AwayLipeiko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaika42.9%3 of 7
AwayLipeiko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaika7Lipeiko3n = 10Zaika took 7 of 10
S2Zaika5Lipeiko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zaika5Lipeiko5n = 10split evenly
S4Zaika4Lipeiko3n = 7Zaika took 4 of 7
S5Zaika1Lipeiko2n = 3Lipeiko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaikaLipeikoZ − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.7+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 549 vs 246 / 51149.9%48.1%274 / 549 vs 246 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZaikaZaika 1.73/Lipeiko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Zaika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zaika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 25 · 16:00B. Zaika28117461O. Lipeiko4181111113
LFeb 17 · 18:10B. Zaika48711811112O. Lipeiko49115119133
WFeb 7 · 16:20B. Zaika432012113O. Lipeiko37181090
LFeb 5 · 18:10B. Zaika44111141262O. Lipeiko54991114113
WJan 29 · 14:40B. Zaika43101111113O. Lipeiko29128541
LJan 14 · 06:35B. Zaika34117791O. Lipeiko3411111113
WJan 2 · 14:10B. Zaika331111113O. Lipeiko184680
WJan 1 · 12:00B. Zaika45111112113O. Lipeiko284131011
WDec 25 · 18:40B. Zaika521181111113O. Lipeiko4913119972
B. Zaika10
WSep 19 · 12:30B. Zaika1.6711114113S. Solomko2.10861181LSep 16 · 18:30B. Zaika1.5310811111A. Kurtenko2.3812118133LSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181WSep 16 · 15:30B. Zaika1.281111113O. Ovsiienko3.507780WSep 16 · 14:30V. Smyk3.50671171B. Zaika1.2811116113LSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560
O. Lipeiko10
LSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.