TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142732
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1164111210114––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lipeiko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lipeiko 31–35 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lipeiko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-35 in 66
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lipeiko 1384 vs Mytsyk 1342
Lipeiko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lipeiko 40% vs Mytsyk 0%
Lipeiko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lipeiko 40% vs Mytsyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lipeiko +1 · Mytsyk -5
Mytsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lipeiko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLipeiko 1.73 / Mytsyk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Lipeiko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142732
Lipeiko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 55 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Mytsyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLipeiko6wins
AwayMytsyk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLipeiko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLipeiko71.4%5 of 7
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lipeiko7Mytsyk3n = 10Lipeiko took 7 of 10
S2Lipeiko5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Lipeiko4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Lipeiko5Mytsyk2n = 7Lipeiko took 5 of 7
S5Lipeiko2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLipeikoMytsykL − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.9+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLipeikoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 509 vs 533 / 107447.9%49.6%244 / 509 vs 533 / 1074Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoLipeiko 1.73/Mytsyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko3811412113O. Mytsyk316111041
WJul 13 · 12:50O. Lipeiko45111166113O. Mytsyk4458111192
LJul 8 · 08:35O. Lipeiko3911361182O. Mytsyk50811119113
LJun 29 · 06:50O. Lipeiko2911990O. Mytsyk351311113
WJun 24 · 24:10O. Lipeiko48711811113O. Mytsyk3811411752
LMay 31 · 09:20O. Lipeiko44111161152O. Mytsyk49136118113
WMay 23 · 16:50O. Lipeiko331111113O. Mytsyk205690
LMay 14 · 05:30O. Lipeiko34118691O. Mytsyk4071111113
WMay 11 · 08:35O. Lipeiko331111113O. Mytsyk171880
WMay 7 · 13:40O. Lipeiko3912511113O. Mytsyk351011681
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113LSep 6 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.571171091M. Stetsenko2.2511112113LSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.91611611153S. Solomko1.80111118132WSep 6 · 08:20E. Populovskyi2.202390O. Lipeiko1.611111113LSep 6 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.83109100A. Kovalenko1.831211123
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 17 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.8311111114133O. Ovsiienko1.83361316112LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113LSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842LSep 14 · 08:50V. Mukhin2.6311158113O. Mytsyk1.444131181LSep 14 · 07:50O. Mytsyk1.831011861O. Ovsiienko1.8312611113LSep 14 · 06:50S. Skhabitskiy2.2071111113O. Mytsyk1.61119961WSep 13 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko2.25915761O. Mytsyk1.57111311113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 16:00O. Mytsyk2.001211133O. Ovsiienko1.73102110LSep 13 · 14:30O. Mytsyk1.804960S. Baranskyi1.91111173
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