TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121867
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41191167––––
Serhii Baranskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-7
Point 48 set 3, 6-7 — our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 1–0 Serhii Baranskyi Serhii Baranskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1354 vs Baranskyi 1339
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 80% vs Baranskyi 60%
Mytsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 70% vs Baranskyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +3 · Baranskyi +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baranskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.80 / Baranskyi 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baranskyi)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13121867
Mytsyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 168 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it88% 80 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it77% 126 of 163
Baranskyi1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 12 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMytsyk1wins
AwayBaranskyi0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMytsyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMytsykBaranskyiM − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match60.054.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1069 vs 102 / 19649.9%52%533 / 1069 vs 102 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiMytsyk 1.80/Baranskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baranskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 8 · 06:00O. Mytsyk601315119123S. Baranskyi541117511102
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk2.631011911113M. Stetsenko1.4412111842WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113
S. Baranskyi10
WSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 6 · 18:30O. Leonenko1.9139111192S. Baranskyi1.80111164113WSep 6 · 17:30O. Ovsiienko1.918640S. Baranskyi1.801111113LSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391LSep 6 · 14:00K. Klymenko1.57714146103S. Baranskyi2.251112121172LSep 6 · 12:00V. Smyk1.5711911113S. Baranskyi2.25911361WAug 30 · 17:40M. Khalenko1.8310990S. Baranskyi1.831211113WAug 30 · 16:10S. Baranskyi2.5091111133K. Klymenko1.501189111WAug 30 · 12:10Y. Korotin2.251110111242S. Baranskyi1.57712314113WAug 30 · 11:10V. Stukalov2.00119261S. Baranskyi1.7381111113
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