TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111132
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119811711––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 77 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 63.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 2–2 Oleksandr Mytsyk Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1203 vs Mytsyk 1314
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Mytsyk 80%
Mytsyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 30% vs Mytsyk 50%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -1 · Mytsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.25 / Mytsyk 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111132
Stukalov2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 102 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Mytsyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 169 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 127 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStukalov2wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S2Stukalov2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
S3Stukalov2Mytsyk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricStukalovMytsykS − MBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.837.2−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 819 vs 531 / 107250.4%49.5%413 / 819 vs 531 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykStukalov 2.25/Mytsyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 12 · 06:05V. Stukalov—41014121O. Mytsyk—111212143
WAug 10 · 05:30V. Stukalov—511711113O. Mytsyk—11911692
LAug 8 · 08:00V. Stukalov—9840O. Mytsyk—1111113
WJul 30 · 07:35V. Stukalov—1111113O. Mytsyk—6870
V. Stukalov10
LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421LSep 11 · 09:05V. Stukalov2.63281121V. Korniichuk1.4411119113WSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113
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