TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100614
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210119––––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 70.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 0–2 Oleksandr Mytsyk Vitalii Mukhin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1325 vs Mytsyk 1295
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Mytsyk 20%
Mukhin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 90% vs Mytsyk 40%
Mukhin
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +4 · Mytsyk -1
Mukhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 3.25 / Mytsyk 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Mytsyk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100614
Mukhin3.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Mytsyk1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 126 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMukhin0wins
AwayMytsyk2wins
Mytsyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMukhinMytsykMukhin − MytsykBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.538.5−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 307 vs 530 / 107051.8%49.5%159 / 307 vs 530 / 1070Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMukhin 3.25/Mytsyk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 09:00V. Mukhin—5990O. Mytsyk—1111113
LAug 6 · 04:30V. Mukhin—138651O. Mytsyk—111111113
V. Mukhin10
WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972WSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771WSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860WSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113LSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541LSep 4 · 10:35O. Mytsyk1.91119881E. Populovskyi1.8091111113WSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113
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