TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100568
Played Sep 9Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311117411119117
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 56.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 13–14 Mykhailo Khalenko Vitalii Mukhin has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1325 vs Khalenko 1278
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 80% vs Khalenko 60%
Mukhin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 90% vs Khalenko 60%
Mukhin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +3 · Khalenko -1
Mukhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mukhin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 2.10 / Khalenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100568
Mukhin2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Khalenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite78% won 47 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin4wins
AwayKhalenko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin66.7%2 of 3
AwayKhalenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S2Mukhin7Khalenko3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin6Khalenko4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S4Mukhin5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S5Mukhin1Khalenko4n = 5Khalenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinKhalenkoM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.7−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 307 vs 185 / 36551.8%50.7%159 / 307 vs 185 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoMukhin 2.10/Khalenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin—311411113M. Khalenko—11711972
WSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin—11147113M. Khalenko—5121151
LAug 19 · 06:00V. Mukhin—11115822M. Khalenko—671111113
LAug 18 · 06:00V. Mukhin—611112112M. Khalenko—116611133
LAug 16 · 05:05V. Mukhin—811117102M. Khalenko—119511123
LJul 20 · 04:30V. Mukhin—971111102M. Khalenko—111199123
LJul 11 · 04:30V. Mukhin—681151M. Khalenko—11118113
WJul 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin—11118113M. Khalenko—461151
LJul 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin—781161M. Khalenko—11118113
WJul 5 · 05:50V. Mukhin—81111113M. Khalenko—115841
V. Mukhin10
WSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771WSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860WSep 8 · 16:30V. Mukhin1.4071111113V. Varchenko2.75116351LSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152
M. Khalenko10
LSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113
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