TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100155
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7114111191191210
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 5–7 Mykhailo Khalenko Serhii Hovorunets has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Khalenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1320 vs Khalenko 1298
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 80% vs Khalenko 60%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Khalenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets -1 · Khalenko +3
Khalenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hovorunets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 2.00 / Khalenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100155
Hovorunets2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Khalenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite78% won 47 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets5wins
AwayKhalenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets80%4 of 5
AwayKhalenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Hovorunets7Khalenko3n = 10Hovorunets took 7 of 10
S3Hovorunets6Khalenko4n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S4Hovorunets2Khalenko4n = 6Khalenko took 4 of 6
S5Hovorunets1Khalenko2n = 3Khalenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsKhalenkoH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.1+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 479 vs 185 / 36748.6%50.4%233 / 479 vs 185 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoHovorunets 2.00/Khalenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 10:00S. Hovorunets—119461M. Khalenko—61111113
LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets—611118102M. Khalenko—118411123
WAug 1 · 06:30S. Hovorunets—1111123M. Khalenko—65100
LJul 24 · 06:00S. Hovorunets—87100M. Khalenko—1111123
WJul 9 · 11:35S. Hovorunets—411119113M. Khalenko—11951182
WJun 25 · 05:05S. Hovorunets—1111113M. Khalenko—4470
LMay 22 · 06:30S. Hovorunets—812761M. Khalenko—111011113
WJan 30 · 13:40S. Hovorunets—111111133M. Khalenko—7139111
LJun 7 · 07:35S. Hovorunets—61191482M. Khalenko—1131112113
WApr 26 · 07:35S. Hovorunets—1111113M. Khalenko—7860
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641
M. Khalenko10
LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461
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