TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12456553
Played Aug 19Finished
Mykhailo Khalenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119114116––
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Khalenko above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Khalenko 6–5 Serhii Hovorunets Serhii Hovorunets has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khalenko 1359 vs Hovorunets 1312
Khalenko
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khalenko 100% vs Hovorunets 60%
Khalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khalenko 90% vs Hovorunets 50%
Khalenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khalenko +5 · Hovorunets +2
Khalenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhalenko 1.91 / Hovorunets 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khalenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #12456553
Khalenko1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 61 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back31% 20 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Hovorunets1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhalenko5wins
AwayHovorunets5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhalenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayHovorunets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khalenko6Hovorunets4n = 10Khalenko took 6 of 10
S2Khalenko3Hovorunets7n = 10Hovorunets took 7 of 10
S3Khalenko3Hovorunets7n = 10Hovorunets took 7 of 10
S4Khalenko3Hovorunets3n = 6split evenly
S5Khalenko3Hovorunets1n = 4Khalenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhalenkoHovorunetsK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.840.1−3.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhalenkoHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 354 vs 246 / 50149.4%49.1%175 / 354 vs 246 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoKhalenko 1.91/Hovorunets 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 11:29M. Khalenko—118411123S. Hovorunets—611118102
LAug 1 · 06:30M. Khalenko—65100S. Hovorunets—1111123
WJul 24 · 06:00M. Khalenko—1111123S. Hovorunets—87100
LJul 9 · 11:35M. Khalenko—11951182S. Hovorunets—411119113
LJun 25 · 05:05M. Khalenko—4470S. Hovorunets—1111113
WMay 22 · 06:30M. Khalenko—111011113S. Hovorunets—812761
LJan 30 · 13:40M. Khalenko—7139111S. Hovorunets—111111133
WJun 7 · 07:35M. Khalenko—1131112113S. Hovorunets—61191482
LApr 26 · 07:35M. Khalenko—7860S. Hovorunets—1111113
WApr 12 · 06:50M. Khalenko—1514313113S. Hovorunets—1312111562
M. Khalenko10
WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113WSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets2.20512761M. Khalenko1.61111011113LSep 3 · 09:05V. Korniichuk1.281111113M. Khalenko3.509970WSep 3 · 07:05S. Osipov2.7511811842M. Khalenko1.40811811113WSep 3 · 05:05D. Khavanskyi1.446260M. Khalenko2.631111113
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133LAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin1.611119113S. Hovorunets2.2081720WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets1.8011611113S. Semenets1.91911671
Upcoming Matches
M. Khalenko
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S. Hovorunets
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