TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12454183
Played Aug 18Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181917112––––
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 19-17
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 68 set 3, 11-2
68 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 26–12 Serhii Hovorunets Serhii Hovorunets has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mukhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mukhin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.61 / Hovorunets 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Mukhin)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12454183
Mukhin1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 87 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it77% 64 of 83
Hovorunets2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 43 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin7wins
AwayHovorunets3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMukhin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin83.3%5 of 6
AwayHovorunets50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin6Hovorunets4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S2Mukhin7Hovorunets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin7Hovorunets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S4Mukhin5Hovorunets1n = 6Mukhin took 5 of 6
S5Mukhin1Hovorunets2n = 3Hovorunets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinHovorunetsM − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.235.2+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 285 vs 246 / 50349.8%48.9%142 / 285 vs 246 / 503Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.61/Hovorunets 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin—111111113S. Hovorunets—136641
WAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin—1119113S. Hovorunets—81720
WAug 6 · 06:00V. Mukhin—1212113S. Hovorunets—101090
LAug 5 · 15:00V. Mukhin—141181182S. Hovorunets—168118113
WJul 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin—1111113S. Hovorunets—9920
WJun 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin—111211113S. Hovorunets—614861
LJun 17 · 12:10V. Mukhin—61181142S. Hovorunets—116116113
LJun 10 · 07:30V. Mukhin—12107101S. Hovorunets—101211123
WJun 8 · 04:30V. Mukhin—971112113S. Hovorunets—111151052
WJun 6 · 11:05V. Mukhin—1111113S. Hovorunets—9990
V. Mukhin10
WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets1.8011611113S. Semenets1.91911671
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