TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12453703
Played Aug 18Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611116117––
Serhii Semenets
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 31–40 Serhii Semenets Serhii Hovorunets has won 31 of their 71 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.80 / Semenets 1.91
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hovorunets)+4.5pp
Setka Cup · #12453703
Hovorunets1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it77% 41 of 53
Semenets1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 34 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets7wins
AwaySemenets3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHovorunets leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets60%3 of 5
AwaySemenets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hovorunets5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S3Hovorunets8Semenets2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S4Hovorunets4Semenets4n = 8split evenly
S5Hovorunets3Semenets1n = 4Hovorunets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsH − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.0+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 503 vs 405 / 81048.9%50%246 / 503 vs 405 / 810Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.80/Semenets 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets—11611113S. Semenets—911671
LAug 6 · 11:30S. Hovorunets—991791S. Semenets—111115113
WAug 5 · 19:00S. Hovorunets—511114113S. Semenets—11461192
WMar 19 · 08:50S. Hovorunets—51111113S. Semenets—119951
WMar 18 · 16:50S. Hovorunets—1111113S. Semenets—6650
WMar 12 · 08:50S. Hovorunets—811116113S. Semenets—11581182
WMar 11 · 18:50S. Hovorunets—491111113S. Semenets—11117972
WMar 5 · 06:50S. Hovorunets—1411123S. Semenets—125100
LMar 4 · 19:50S. Hovorunets—115813102S. Semenets—4111111123
LFeb 26 · 07:50S. Hovorunets—128961S. Semenets—101111113
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133LAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin1.611119113S. Hovorunets2.2081720
S. Semenets10
LSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450LSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.