TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094695
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 35–39 Serhii Semenets Vladyslav Stukalov has won 35 of their 74 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stukalov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-39 in 74
Semenets
Correct
gap of 4 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1240 vs Semenets 1219
Stukalov
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Semenets 20%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 30% vs Semenets 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Semenets -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.73 / Semenets 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stukalov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094695
Stukalov1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Semenets2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov7wins
AwaySemenets3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov100%6 of 6
AwaySemenets75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov6Semenets4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov6Semenets4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov7Semenets3n = 10Stukalov took 7 of 10
S4Stukalov5Semenets2n = 7Stukalov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovSemenetsStukalov − SemenetsBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.7+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 811 vs 414 / 82750.7%50.1%411 / 811 vs 414 / 827Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.73/Semenets 2.00
Miss
What we said
54%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov—1111113S. Semenets—5930
WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov—1511153S. Semenets—137130
WSep 3 · 08:35V. Stukalov—11512113S. Semenets—9111061
WSep 1 · 05:35V. Stukalov—11117113S. Semenets—671181
LAug 29 · 06:50V. Stukalov—311541S. Semenets—11711113
LAug 26 · 08:00V. Stukalov—6811141S. Semenets—11118163
WAug 24 · 05:35V. Stukalov—12811113S. Semenets—1011931
WAug 22 · 08:30V. Stukalov—511411113S. Semenets—11511952
LAug 18 · 05:30V. Stukalov—89121182S. Semenets—1111109113
WAug 8 · 05:30V. Stukalov—1113123S. Semenets—611100
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113LSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113
S. Semenets10
LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450LSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130WSep 5 · 07:05V. Kucheriavyi1.831111361S. Semenets1.8313811113WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113
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