TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089019
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711711911––
Volodymyr Melnykov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:42 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Melnykov to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Volodymyr Melnykov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Melnykov at 75.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 0–1 Volodymyr Melnykov Vladyslav Stukalov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Melnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1233 vs Melnykov 1336
Melnykov
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Melnykov 40%
Melnykov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Melnykov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -2 · Melnykov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Melnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 3.40 / Melnykov 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Melnykov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089019
Stukalov3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 102 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 71
Melnykov1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 60 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 41 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStukalov0wins
AwayMelnykov1wins
Melnykov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStukalovMelnykovS − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.042.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovMelnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 813 vs 247 / 53950.4%45.8%410 / 813 vs 247 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykovStukalov 3.40/Melnykov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Melnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 7 · 05:30V. Stukalov—7711101V. Melnykov—11118123
V. Stukalov10
WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850LSep 5 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.8312711692V. Kucheriavyi1.831011511113WSep 5 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.831511153S. Semenets1.83137130LSep 5 · 07:35V. Stukalov1.53117991O. Stopin2.3841111113LSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113
V. Melnykov10
WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 11:35V. Melnykov1.914660E. Populovskyi1.801111113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Stetsenko1.73611831V. Melnykov2.0011311113LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov2.25111410482O. Mytsyk1.579121211113WSep 4 · 07:35K. Klymenko3.2581311472V. Melnykov1.331111811113LSep 4 · 06:05V. Melnykov2.10961111102A. Kovalenko1.67111129123LAug 27 · 11:30O. Ovsiienko1.731111113V. Melnykov2.006990LAug 27 · 10:00V. Melnykov1.911011311102V. Kondratenko1.80128119123
Upcoming Matches
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