TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094464
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711118119––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Mukhin to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vitalii Mukhin at 63.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 24–15 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 15 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mukhin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-15 in 39
Mukhin
Correct
gap of 9 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1299 vs Semenets 1234
Mukhin
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 100% vs Semenets 40%
Mukhin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 70% vs Semenets 40%
Mukhin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +5 · Semenets +1
Mukhin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mukhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mukhin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.50 / Semenets 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Mukhin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094464
Mukhin1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Semenets2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin6wins
AwaySemenets4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMukhin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin75%6 of 8
AwaySemenetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin8Semenets2n = 10Mukhin took 8 of 10
S2Mukhin7Semenets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin7Semenets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S4Mukhin2Semenets4n = 6Semenets took 4 of 6
S5Mukhin1Semenets3n = 4Semenets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinSemenetsM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.035.5+4.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 301 vs 415 / 82851.2%50.1%154 / 301 vs 415 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.50/Semenets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mukhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin—11126762S. Semenets—9101111113
WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin—1111912133S. Semenets—671114112
WAug 30 · 06:35V. Mukhin—1111113S. Semenets—6440
LAug 29 · 08:50V. Mukhin—76111252S. Semenets—1111710113
WAug 18 · 07:30V. Mukhin—1116113S. Semenets—51440
LAug 16 · 06:35V. Mukhin—81111962S. Semenets—118811113
WAug 6 · 07:30V. Mukhin—1111113S. Semenets—9830
LAug 5 · 13:30V. Mukhin—119491S. Semenets—51111113
WAug 2 · 07:20V. Mukhin—14711113S. Semenets—1211491
WJul 31 · 13:30V. Mukhin—1411113S. Semenets—12480
V. Mukhin10
WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112WSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151
S. Semenets10
WSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450LSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112WSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143WSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
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