TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12456532
Played Aug 19Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012311111311––
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 62 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 71.5%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 1–2 Serhii Hovorunets Oleh Miklukha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hovorunets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1167 vs Hovorunets 1304
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 0% vs Hovorunets 40%
Hovorunets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 10% vs Hovorunets 40%
Hovorunets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -5 · Hovorunets +1
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hovorunets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hovorunets form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.63 / Hovorunets 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Hovorunets)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12456532
Miklukha2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 42 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Hovorunets1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMiklukha1wins
AwayHovorunets2wins
Hovorunets leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha2Hovorunets1n = 3Miklukha took 2 of 3
S2Miklukha2Hovorunets1n = 3Miklukha took 2 of 3
S3Miklukha1Hovorunets2n = 3Hovorunets took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMiklukhaHovorunetsM − HBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.334.3−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 461 vs 245 / 50046.6%49%215 / 461 vs 245 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsMiklukha 2.63/Hovorunets 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha—1465111S. Hovorunets—121111133
WJun 17 · 11:10O. Miklukha—1111113S. Hovorunets—2570
LJun 10 · 06:30O. Miklukha—1011731S. Hovorunets—12811113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.50119751V. Stukalov1.5081111113LSep 1 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.63711111062V. Korniichuk1.44117912113LSep 1 · 08:05O. Miklukha3.001171112102S. Yakimenko1.36511614123WSep 1 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.101212113S. Semenets1.67101050WSep 1 · 05:05O. Miklukha2.501111113D. Khavanskyi1.508960LAug 26 · 10:30O. Miklukha2.00771371O. Stopin1.73111111113LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha2.20981391V. Stukalov1.61111111113LAug 26 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.739111161O. Ponomarenko2.0011139113LAug 26 · 06:00O. Miklukha2.2041111662S. Semenets1.61119611113WAug 26 · 04:30O. Miklukha2.6313118113D. Khavanskyi1.441191191
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133LAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin1.611119113S. Hovorunets2.2081720WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets1.8011611113S. Semenets1.91911671
Upcoming Matches
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S. Hovorunets
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