TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094688
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113211––––
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 57 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 67.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 2–3 Serhii Hovorunets Volodymyr Varchenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hovorunets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1155 vs Hovorunets 1284
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 20% vs Hovorunets 40%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 30% vs Hovorunets 50%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -4 · Hovorunets -2
Varchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hovorunets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hovorunets form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 2.63 / Hovorunets 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Hovorunets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094688
Varchenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 14 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Hovorunets1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVarchenko2wins
AwayHovorunets3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHovorunets leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayHovorunetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko3Hovorunets2n = 5Varchenko took 3 of 5
S2Varchenko0Hovorunets5n = 5Hovorunets took 5 of 5
S3Varchenko2Hovorunets3n = 5Hovorunets took 3 of 5
S4Varchenko0Hovorunets3n = 3Hovorunets took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricVarchenkoHovorunetsV − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match33.440.2−6.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 224 vs 236 / 48343.8%48.9%98 / 224 vs 236 / 483Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsVarchenko 2.63/Hovorunets 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 5 · 13:00V. Varchenko—137119113S. Hovorunets—111191192
LJan 31 · 08:05V. Varchenko—8890S. Hovorunets—1111113
WDec 20 · 12:20V. Varchenko—1110119103S. Hovorunets—61271182
LDec 19 · 20:50V. Varchenko—115781S. Hovorunets—71111113
LJul 30 · 21:50V. Varchenko—5130S. Hovorunets—1111113
V. Varchenko10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102LSep 5 · 10:35V. Varchenko2.6310119121S. Semenets1.4412811143LSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821LSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152WSep 5 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001012471V. Varchenko1.73121011113LAug 23 · 11:35V. Varchenko1.73491191S. Baranskyi2.0011116113WAug 23 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.508960V. Varchenko2.501111113LAug 23 · 08:35V. Varchenko2.389640S. Semenets1.531111113WAug 23 · 07:35O. Stopin2.10611101142V. Varchenko1.67114124113LAug 23 · 06:05V. Varchenko1.83101060Y. Korotin1.831212113
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133LAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin1.611119113S. Hovorunets2.2081720WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets1.8011611113S. Semenets1.91911671
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