TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094644
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811211––––
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 52 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 60.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 8–22 Serhii Hovorunets Vladyslav Stukalov has won 8 of their 30 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hovorunets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-22 in 30
Hovorunets
Correct
gap of 14 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1225 vs Hovorunets 1327
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Hovorunets 60%
Hovorunets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 30% vs Hovorunets 60%
Hovorunets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -1 · Hovorunets +3
Hovorunets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.20 / Hovorunets 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hovorunets)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13094644
Stukalov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 101 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Hovorunets1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov4wins
AwayHovorunets6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHovorunets leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov60%3 of 5
AwayHovorunets80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov5Hovorunets5n = 10split evenly
S2Stukalov4Hovorunets6n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov4Hovorunets6n = 10Hovorunets took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov3Hovorunets2n = 5Stukalov took 3 of 5
S5Stukalov2Hovorunets3n = 5Hovorunets took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovHovorunetsS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.6−2.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 814 vs 232 / 47750.6%48.6%412 / 814 vs 232 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsStukalov 2.20/Hovorunets 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov—1111113S. Hovorunets—6920
LAug 18 · 05:28V. Stukalov—7480S. Hovorunets—1111113
WAug 5 · 14:00V. Stukalov—613128113S. Hovorunets—1111101192
WAug 1 · 09:30V. Stukalov—1111113S. Hovorunets—9840
LJul 24 · 09:00V. Stukalov—131230S. Hovorunets—1514113
WJul 8 · 09:00V. Stukalov—149911113S. Hovorunets—121111782
LJun 25 · 09:35V. Stukalov—61181182S. Hovorunets—116117113
LJun 17 · 14:10V. Stukalov—1110711112S. Hovorunets—512119133
LJun 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov—12514592S. Hovorunets—10111211113
LJun 10 · 09:30V. Stukalov—7740S. Hovorunets—1111113
V. Stukalov10
LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113LSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133
Upcoming Matches
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S. Hovorunets
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