TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094645
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11611651111131012
Yevhenii Korotin
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Yevhenii Korotin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 56.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 19–16 Yevhenii Korotin Yevhenii Korotin has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stukalov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Stukalov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1235 vs Korotin 1270
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Korotin 20%
Stukalov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 40% vs Korotin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Korotin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korotin form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.67 / Korotin 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stukalov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094645
Stukalov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 111 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it80% 82 of 103
Korotin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 26 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov6wins
AwayKorotin4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov83.3%5 of 6
AwayKorotin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov6Korotin4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S2Stukalov6Korotin4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov6Korotin4n = 10Stukalov took 6 of 10
S4Stukalov3Korotin4n = 7Korotin took 4 of 7
S5Stukalov2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKorotinS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.6+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKorotinBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 813 vs 97 / 20050.7%48.5%412 / 813 vs 97 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.67/Korotin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 16:40V. Stukalov—1111113Y. Korotin—7390
WAug 5 · 16:00V. Stukalov—1211113Y. Korotin—10550
WJun 21 · 14:40V. Stukalov—111312113Y. Korotin—9151041
LApr 28 · 10:40V. Stukalov—611111172Y. Korotin—119138113
LApr 19 · 17:10V. Stukalov—1890Y. Korotin—1111103
WApr 15 · 05:35V. Stukalov—11511113Y. Korotin—811991
LApr 14 · 05:30V. Stukalov—71112362Y. Korotin—1171011113
LApr 10 · 07:00V. Stukalov—117951Y. Korotin—61111113
WMar 31 · 16:40V. Stukalov—911116113Y. Korotin—11761182
WMar 22 · 13:40V. Stukalov—11111110113Y. Korotin—97131252
V. Stukalov10
LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113LSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850
Y. Korotin10
LSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692LSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640LSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 17:00Y. Korotin1.91100S. Semenets1.80121LSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113WSep 4 · 14:30Y. Korotin3.50911811113S. Yakimenko1.2811911772WSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690LAug 30 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.917390V. Stukalov1.801111113LAug 30 · 15:10Y. Korotin2.7571080O. Mytsyk1.401112113
Upcoming Matches
V. Stukalov
Nothing scheduled
Y. Korotin
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