TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094491
Played Sep 8Finished
Vitalii Mukhin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111171149111315
Serhii Hovorunets
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii Mukhin to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Mukhin above · Serhii Hovorunets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 99 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Vitalii Mukhin at 63.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Mukhin 26–12 Serhii Hovorunets Serhii Hovorunets has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mukhin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-12 in 38
Mukhin
Wrong
gap of 14 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mukhin 1309 vs Hovorunets 1306
Mukhin
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mukhin 100% vs Hovorunets 60%
Mukhin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mukhin 70% vs Hovorunets 50%
Mukhin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mukhin +5 · Hovorunets +2
Mukhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mukhin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hovorunets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMukhin 1.50 / Hovorunets 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Mukhin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13094491
Mukhin1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it79% 71 of 90
Hovorunets2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMukhin7wins
AwayHovorunets3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMukhin leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMukhin83.3%5 of 6
AwayHovorunets50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mukhin6Hovorunets4n = 10Mukhin took 6 of 10
S2Mukhin7Hovorunets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S3Mukhin7Hovorunets3n = 10Mukhin took 7 of 10
S4Mukhin5Hovorunets1n = 6Mukhin took 5 of 6
S5Mukhin1Hovorunets2n = 3Hovorunets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMukhinHovorunetsM − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.235.2+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMukhinHovorunetsBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 302 vs 231 / 47651.3%48.5%155 / 302 vs 231 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MukhinMukhin 1.50/Hovorunets 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Mukhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin—111111113S. Hovorunets—136641
WAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin—1119113S. Hovorunets—81720
WAug 6 · 06:00V. Mukhin—1212113S. Hovorunets—101090
LAug 5 · 15:00V. Mukhin—141181182S. Hovorunets—168118113
WJul 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin—1111113S. Hovorunets—9920
WJun 18 · 05:05V. Mukhin—111211113S. Hovorunets—614861
LJun 17 · 12:10V. Mukhin—61181142S. Hovorunets—116116113
LJun 10 · 07:30V. Mukhin—12107101S. Hovorunets—101211123
WJun 8 · 04:30V. Mukhin—971112113S. Hovorunets—111151052
WJun 6 · 11:05V. Mukhin—1111113S. Hovorunets—9990
V. Mukhin10
WSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:00V. Mukhin2.25916116113Y. Korotin1.57111431182WSep 5 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.361111113V. Stukalov3.009850WSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.571112113V. Kucheriavyi2.2561020WSep 5 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.44911118113V. Varchenko2.6311641152LSep 5 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.4411126762S. Semenets2.639101111113LSep 4 · 18:00V. Mukhin2.6311119342Y. Korotin1.44981111113LSep 4 · 16:30V. Mukhin2.6386100S. Yakimenko1.441111123WSep 4 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.401111912133S. Semenets2.75671114112
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123WAug 18 · 09:28O. Miklukha2.251465111S. Hovorunets1.57121111133LAug 18 · 07:28V. Mukhin1.611119113S. Hovorunets2.2081720
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