TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094672
Played Sep 8Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411211––––
Serhii Semenets
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 50 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 31–40 Serhii Semenets Serhii Hovorunets has won 31 of their 71 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-40 in 71
Semenets
Correct
gap of 9 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1337 vs Semenets 1245
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 80% vs Semenets 60%
Hovorunets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Semenets 40%
Hovorunets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +4 · Semenets +2
Hovorunets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.67 / Semenets 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Hovorunets)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094672
Hovorunets1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Semenets2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 48 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets7wins
AwaySemenets3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHovorunets leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets60%3 of 5
AwaySemenets20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S2Hovorunets5Semenets5n = 10split evenly
S3Hovorunets8Semenets2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S4Hovorunets4Semenets4n = 8split evenly
S5Hovorunets3Semenets1n = 4Hovorunets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsH − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.0+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 478 vs 417 / 83148.7%50.2%233 / 478 vs 417 / 831Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.67/Semenets 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 06:28S. Hovorunets—11611113S. Semenets—911671
LAug 6 · 11:30S. Hovorunets—991791S. Semenets—111115113
WAug 5 · 19:00S. Hovorunets—511114113S. Semenets—11461192
WMar 19 · 08:50S. Hovorunets—51111113S. Semenets—119951
WMar 18 · 16:50S. Hovorunets—1111113S. Semenets—6650
WMar 12 · 08:50S. Hovorunets—811116113S. Semenets—11581182
WMar 11 · 18:50S. Hovorunets—491111113S. Semenets—11117972
WMar 5 · 06:50S. Hovorunets—1411123S. Semenets—125100
LMar 4 · 19:50S. Hovorunets—115813102S. Semenets—4111111123
LFeb 26 · 07:50S. Hovorunets—128961S. Semenets—101111113
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461WAug 19 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.631031131S. Hovorunets1.4412111113WAug 19 · 06:30V. Kondratenko1.736411121S. Hovorunets2.0011115143LAug 19 · 04:30V. Mukhin1.53111111113S. Hovorunets2.38136641LAug 18 · 11:29S. Hovorunets1.53611118102M. Khalenko2.38118411123
S. Semenets10
WSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450LSep 7 · 11:20S. Semenets3.258990M. Stetsenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123LSep 7 · 07:20V. Korniichuk1.53111011113S. Semenets2.38912471LSep 7 · 06:20V. Stukalov1.831111113S. Semenets1.835930LSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.