TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100357
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11712141151517115
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-17
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 108 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.9%
108 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–2 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1306 vs Khalenko 1246
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Khalenko 20%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 40% vs Khalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +1 · Khalenko -4
Khalenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.73 / Khalenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Mytsyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100357
Mytsyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 126 of 163
Khalenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 71 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back30% 25 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMytsyk5wins
AwayKhalenko2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMytsyk leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhalenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk6Khalenko1n = 7Mytsyk took 6 of 7
S2Mytsyk3Khalenko4n = 7Khalenko took 4 of 7
S3Mytsyk4Khalenko3n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
S4Mytsyk2Khalenko4n = 6Khalenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMytsykKhalenkoM − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.735.3+5.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1073 vs 185 / 36849.6%50.3%532 / 1073 vs 185 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.73/Khalenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk—11121115113M. Khalenko—71451752
LAug 31 · 08:20O. Mytsyk—116871M. Khalenko—91111113
WAug 30 · 11:40O. Mytsyk—11118113M. Khalenko—731171
LAug 28 · 07:05O. Mytsyk—971381M. Khalenko—111111113
WAug 24 · 07:05O. Mytsyk—1111113M. Khalenko—6550
WAug 23 · 16:40O. Mytsyk—11811113M. Khalenko—711371
WAug 21 · 12:05O. Mytsyk—111152123M. Khalenko—451111102
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113LSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541
M. Khalenko10
LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123LSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972LSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113
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