TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100682
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykhailo Khalenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111185111012
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Khalenko above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Khalenko 7–10 Denys Khavanskyi Mykhailo Khalenko has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khalenko 1255 vs Khavanskyi 1280
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khalenko 40% vs Khavanskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khalenko 50% vs Khavanskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khalenko -3 · Khavanskyi +2
Khalenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhalenko 1.57 / Khavanskyi 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100682
Khalenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite78% won 47 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Khavanskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhalenko3wins
AwayKhavanskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhalenko40%2 of 5
AwayKhavanskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khalenko5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Khalenko4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S3Khalenko5Khavanskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Khalenko2Khavanskyi4n = 6Khavanskyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhalenkoKhavanskyiKhalenko − KhavanskyiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.436.8−1.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhalenkoKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 367 vs 153 / 29750.4%51.5%185 / 367 vs 153 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoKhalenko 1.57/Khavanskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko—118115102D. Khavanskyi—911811123
WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko—91111113D. Khavanskyi—116931
WSep 3 · 05:05M. Khalenko—1111113D. Khavanskyi—6260
LSep 6 · 10:35M. Khalenko—61380D. Khavanskyi—1115113
LAug 30 · 10:35M. Khalenko—81141172D. Khavanskyi—115116113
LAug 26 · 11:40M. Khalenko—118591D. Khavanskyi—71111113
LAug 23 · 09:05M. Khalenko—149901D. Khavanskyi—121111113
LAug 1 · 09:20M. Khalenko—571991D. Khavanskyi—111117113
WJul 31 · 20:20M. Khalenko—1211113D. Khavanskyi—10870
LJul 29 · 17:40M. Khalenko—9990D. Khavanskyi—1111113
M. Khalenko10
LSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541LSep 9 · 06:35V. Mukhin2.10311411113M. Khalenko1.6711711972LSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102WSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets2.25811891M. Khalenko1.5711511113WSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 15:30S. Yakimenko1.8311611552M. Khalenko1.83711911113LSep 4 · 13:30V. Mukhin2.3811147113M. Khalenko1.535121151LSep 4 · 12:30Y. Korotin1.831111113M. Khalenko1.835690WSep 3 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.0011911492M. Khalenko1.73111911113
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets2.101411421D. Khavanskyi1.6716811113WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113
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