TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100697
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416118411211––
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Khavanskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 77 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Denys Khavanskyi at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 16–23 Denys Khavanskyi Serhii Semenets has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khavanskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-23 in 39
Khavanskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1261 vs Khavanskyi 1280
Khavanskyi
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Khavanskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 60% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets -1 · Khavanskyi +3
Khavanskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Khavanskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.10 / Khavanskyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Khavanskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100697
Semenets2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 51 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Khavanskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite39% won 21 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets3wins
AwayKhavanskyi7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhavanskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets25%1 of 4
AwayKhavanskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S2Semenets6Khavanskyi4n = 10Semenets took 6 of 10
S3Semenets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S4Semenets2Khavanskyi6n = 8Khavanskyi took 6 of 8
S5Semenets2Khavanskyi3n = 5Khavanskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.3−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime420 / 837 vs 153 / 29750.2%51.5%420 / 837 vs 153 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhavanskyiSemenets 2.10/Khavanskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Khavanskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 11:35S. Semenets—1411421D. Khavanskyi—16811113
WSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets—9111111113D. Khavanskyi—11135882
LSep 3 · 06:35S. Semenets—9980D. Khavanskyi—1111113
LSep 1 · 10:35S. Semenets—11116372D. Khavanskyi—971111113
LAug 30 · 10:35S. Semenets—11111091D. Khavanskyi—13512113
WAug 29 · 12:50S. Semenets—1111103D. Khavanskyi—9750
LAug 26 · 10:00S. Semenets—815871D. Khavanskyi—111311113
LAug 23 · 06:35S. Semenets—111011862D. Khavanskyi—712811113
WMay 13 · 08:30S. Semenets—5131111113D. Khavanskyi—111181372
LApr 8 · 19:20S. Semenets—11761182D. Khavanskyi—311117113
S. Semenets10
LSep 9 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.50116811113S. Semenets2.5071111972WSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets2.2511911113M. Khalenko1.57711541WSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113LSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113WSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:30S. Semenets1.91119911113Y. Korotin1.8051111692WSep 8 · 15:30V. Varchenko2.638117101S. Semenets1.4411911123LSep 8 · 13:30V. Mukhin1.5011711113S. Semenets2.50911891WSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113LSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123WSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113
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