TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100447
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210611117711811
Denys Khavanskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Denys Khavanskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 58.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 10–7 Denys Khavanskyi Denys Khavanskyi has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hovorunets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Hovorunets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1313 vs Khavanskyi 1245
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 60% vs Khavanskyi 40%
Hovorunets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Khavanskyi 30%
Hovorunets
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets -1 · Khavanskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hovorunets) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.61 / Khavanskyi 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hovorunets)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100447
Hovorunets1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 50 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Khavanskyi2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHovorunets5wins
AwayKhavanskyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunets62.5%5 of 8
AwayKhavanskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets8Khavanskyi2n = 10Hovorunets took 8 of 10
S2Hovorunets4Khavanskyi6n = 10Khavanskyi took 6 of 10
S3Hovorunets7Khavanskyi3n = 10Hovorunets took 7 of 10
S4Hovorunets2Khavanskyi5n = 7Khavanskyi took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.532.5+4.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsKhavanskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 481 vs 150 / 29448.7%51%234 / 481 vs 150 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.61/Khavanskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 6 · 20:20S. Hovorunets—1111113D. Khavanskyi—4540
LApr 29 · 20:20S. Hovorunets—481191D. Khavanskyi—11117113
WApr 22 · 16:20S. Hovorunets—11611113D. Khavanskyi—911291
LApr 15 · 20:20S. Hovorunets—871171D. Khavanskyi—11119113
LApr 1 · 15:50S. Hovorunets—127111382D. Khavanskyi—1011515113
LDec 20 · 06:50S. Hovorunets—1112581D. Khavanskyi—91411113
WDec 19 · 16:20S. Hovorunets—11117113D. Khavanskyi—941191
WDec 4 · 09:50S. Hovorunets—1111113D. Khavanskyi—1350
WOct 30 · 13:50S. Hovorunets—1111113D. Khavanskyi—5560
LOct 29 · 21:20S. Hovorunets—1167111D. Khavanskyi—91111133
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113WSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920LAug 19 · 10:00M. Khalenko1.9161111113S. Hovorunets1.80119461
D. Khavanskyi10
WSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113LSep 9 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.5761211113D. Khavanskyi2.251110771LSep 4 · 18:30S. Yakimenko1.671111113D. Khavanskyi2.105780LSep 4 · 17:30M. Khalenko2.1091111113D. Khavanskyi1.67116931WSep 4 · 16:00Y. Korotin2.253980D. Khavanskyi1.571111113LSep 4 · 14:00S. Semenets2.259111111113D. Khavanskyi1.5711135882LSep 4 · 12:00V. Mukhin1.9151111113D. Khavanskyi1.80117591LSep 3 · 11:05D. Khavanskyi2.00871141V. Korniichuk1.7311114113WSep 3 · 09:35D. Khavanskyi1.611111113V. Stukalov2.206740LSep 3 · 08:05D. Khavanskyi1.25126531S. Osipov3.75101111113
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