TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100464
Played Sep 9Finished
Serhii Hovorunets
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911311711––––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 0–1 Oleksandr Mytsyk Serhii Hovorunets has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1313 vs Mytsyk 1282
Hovorunets
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 60% vs Mytsyk 20%
Hovorunets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 60% vs Mytsyk 30%
Hovorunets
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets -1 · Mytsyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 2.00 / Mytsyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100464
Hovorunets2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 38 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Mytsyk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 311
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 126 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHovorunets0wins
AwayMytsyk1wins
Mytsyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricHovorunetsMytsykH − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.038.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 481 vs 530 / 107148.7%49.5%234 / 481 vs 530 / 1071Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykHovorunets 2.00/Mytsyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 10:00S. Hovorunets—14960O. Mytsyk—1611113
S. Hovorunets10
LSep 9 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.57119511113S. Hovorunets2.2591111632LSep 9 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.6112611782D. Khavanskyi2.201011711113LSep 9 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.9181950S. Semenets1.801121113WSep 9 · 05:35S. Hovorunets2.00741111123M. Khalenko1.73111199102LSep 8 · 19:00S. Hovorunets1.6710420S. Semenets2.101211113WSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113WSep 8 · 15:00V. Mukhin1.50711119132S. Hovorunets2.50117411153WSep 8 · 14:00S. Hovorunets1.571111113Y. Korotin2.253640WSep 8 · 13:00V. Varchenko2.6391120S. Hovorunets1.441113113LAug 19 · 11:00V. Stukalov2.631111113S. Hovorunets1.446920
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113LSep 7 · 10:20V. Korniichuk2.101013711113O. Mytsyk1.67121111992LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk1.30111196102S. Semenets3.40841111123WSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113WSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102LSep 4 · 12:05A. Kovalenko1.5711611113O. Mytsyk2.25511541
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