TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111016
Played Sep 11Finished
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111182111161012
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyrylo Riazanovskyi above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Kyrylo Riazanovskyi 5–3 Oleksandr Mytsyk Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riazanovskyi 1295 vs Mytsyk 1334
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riazanovskyi 20% vs Mytsyk 60%
Mytsyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riazanovskyi 10% vs Mytsyk 50%
Mytsyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Riazanovskyi -4 · Mytsyk +2
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiazanovskyi 2.00 / Mytsyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mytsyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13111016
Riazanovskyi2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Mytsyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 172 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it88% 82 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it78% 129 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRiazanovskyi5wins
AwayMytsyk3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderRiazanovskyi leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiazanovskyi80%4 of 5
AwayMytsyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riazanovskyi5Mytsyk3n = 8Riazanovskyi took 5 of 8
S2Riazanovskyi6Mytsyk2n = 8Riazanovskyi took 6 of 8
S3Riazanovskyi4Mytsyk4n = 8split evenly
S4Riazanovskyi3Mytsyk1n = 4Riazanovskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRiazanovskyiMytsykR − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match36.133.2+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiazanovskyiMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 92 vs 533 / 107343.5%49.7%40 / 92 vs 533 / 1073Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykRiazanovskyi 2.00/Mytsyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi—611211102O. Mytsyk—118116123
LNov 20 · 12:00K. Riazanovskyi—91270O. Mytsyk—1114113
WOct 30 · 10:30K. Riazanovskyi—11116113O. Mytsyk—881191
LOct 9 · 06:30K. Riazanovskyi—1198101O. Mytsyk—61111123
WOct 2 · 06:30K. Riazanovskyi—61111153O. Mytsyk—1188131
WSep 18 · 07:20K. Riazanovskyi—1111113O. Mytsyk—8880
WSep 11 · 09:30K. Riazanovskyi—1212113O. Mytsyk—101050
WJul 21 · 09:20K. Riazanovskyi—1111113O. Mytsyk—6290
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 11:35K. Riazanovskyi1.73117811V. Korniichuk2.0071111113LSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682LSep 11 · 08:35K. Riazanovskyi1.6771211992D. Khavanskyi2.101110811113LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 11 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.571111113D. Khavanskyi2.253770WSep 11 · 10:05V. Stukalov2.25911871O. Mytsyk1.5711911113LSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.8321111113V. Korniichuk1.83119581WSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752WSep 9 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.009370O. Mytsyk1.731111113LSep 9 · 08:05V. Mukhin3.251212113O. Mytsyk1.33101090LSep 9 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.441311101172D. Khavanskyi2.63158127113WSep 9 · 06:05S. Semenets2.7511381152O. Mytsyk1.40311116113LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk2.6311115692M. Stetsenko1.44771111113
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