TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11981215
Played Jun 3Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1917117117––––
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Kyrylo Riazanovskyi below
Set 1 · 19-17
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 72 set 3, 11-7
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 4–3 Kyrylo Riazanovskyi Kyrylo Riazanovskyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Riazanovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.00 / Riazanovskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Riazanovskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #11981215
Leonenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 72 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 68
Riazanovskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLeonenko4wins
AwayRiazanovskyi3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderLeonenko leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRiazanovskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko2Riazanovskyi5n = 7Riazanovskyi took 5 of 7
S2Leonenko6Riazanovskyi1n = 7Leonenko took 6 of 7
S3Leonenko5Riazanovskyi2n = 7Leonenko took 5 of 7
S4Leonenko3Riazanovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLeonenkoRiazanovskyiL − RBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.036.7+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoRiazanovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1087 vs 65 / 14049.9%46.4%542 / 1087 vs 65 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiazanovskyiLeonenko 2.00/Riazanovskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Riazanovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 1 · 11:50O. Leonenko—2K. Riazanovskyi—3
LAug 28 · 11:50O. Leonenko—1K. Riazanovskyi—3
WAug 21 · 05:50O. Leonenko—3K. Riazanovskyi—1
WAug 11 · 05:05O. Leonenko—3K. Riazanovskyi—1
LJun 26 · 05:50O. Leonenko—1K. Riazanovskyi—3
WJun 19 · 05:50O. Leonenko—3K. Riazanovskyi—1
WJun 9 · 06:20O. Leonenko—3K. Riazanovskyi—0
O. Leonenko10
LSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123WSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790WSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372WSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110WSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772LSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113WSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070LJun 3 · 16:50O. Osadchyi2.201111113K. Riazanovskyi1.617890LJun 3 · 14:50S. Skhabitskiy1.61119118113K. Riazanovskyi2.2061121132LMar 25 · 22:50A. Kurtenko1.911111113K. Riazanovskyi1.803840
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