TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11981240
Played Jun 3Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Kyrylo Riazanovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 3–5 Kyrylo Riazanovskyi Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Riazanovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.20 / Riazanovskyi 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Riazanovskyi)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #11981240
Osadchyi2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 96 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 80
Riazanovskyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsadchyi3wins
AwayRiazanovskyi5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderRiazanovskyi leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayRiazanovskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi3Riazanovskyi5n = 8Riazanovskyi took 5 of 8
S2Osadchyi4Riazanovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S3Osadchyi4Riazanovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S4Osadchyi4Riazanovskyi3n = 7Osadchyi took 4 of 7
S5Osadchyi2Riazanovskyi3n = 5Riazanovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsadchyiRiazanovskyiO − RBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match43.241.2+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiRiazanovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 1052 vs 65 / 13747.6%47.5%501 / 1052 vs 65 / 137Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiazanovskyiOsadchyi 2.20/Riazanovskyi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Riazanovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WMar 25 · 16:20O. Osadchyi—3K. Riazanovskyi—2
LFeb 11 · 19:20O. Osadchyi—1K. Riazanovskyi—3
LAug 4 · 12:20O. Osadchyi—2K. Riazanovskyi—3
WJul 24 · 06:50O. Osadchyi—3K. Riazanovskyi—2
LJul 14 · 05:50O. Osadchyi—2K. Riazanovskyi—3
LJul 7 · 10:35O. Osadchyi—2K. Riazanovskyi—3
WJun 19 · 11:20O. Osadchyi—3K. Riazanovskyi—0
LJun 9 · 09:50O. Osadchyi—1K. Riazanovskyi—3
O. Osadchyi10
WSep 10 · 12:05V. Vietrov1.676430O. Osadchyi2.101111113LSep 10 · 10:35O. Osadchyi4.00591161A. Troyan1.2211119113WSep 10 · 08:35D. Khairov1.808670O. Osadchyi1.911111113LSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets2.25111163113O. Osadchyi1.5754111192LSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070LJun 3 · 14:50S. Skhabitskiy1.61119118113K. Riazanovskyi2.2061121132LMar 25 · 22:50A. Kurtenko1.911111113K. Riazanovskyi1.803840
Upcoming Matches
O. Osadchyi
Nothing scheduled
K. Riazanovskyi
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