TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106013
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleh Volynets
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115114611311119
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Osadchyi to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Oleksandr Osadchyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 82 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Osadchyi at 59.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 2–3 Oleksandr Osadchyi Oleh Volynets has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Osadchyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1432 vs Osadchyi 1528
Osadchyi
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 20% vs Osadchyi 60%
Osadchyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 20% vs Osadchyi 40%
Osadchyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -2 · Osadchyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Osadchyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.25 / Osadchyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Osadchyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106013
Volynets2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Osadchyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite70% won 115 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it87% 85 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVolynets2wins
AwayOsadchyi3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOsadchyi leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets66.7%2 of 3
AwayOsadchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets3Osadchyi2n = 5Volynets took 3 of 5
S2Volynets2Osadchyi3n = 5Osadchyi took 3 of 5
S3Volynets0Osadchyi5n = 5Osadchyi took 5 of 5
S4Volynets1Osadchyi3n = 4Osadchyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVolynetsOsadchyiV − OBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.040.6−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsOsadchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 625 vs 440 / 85754.2%51.3%339 / 625 vs 440 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsadchyiVolynets 2.25/Osadchyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Osadchyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 06:35O. Volynets—111163113O. Osadchyi—54111192
LSep 8 · 06:35O. Volynets—1110761O. Osadchyi—61211113
LSep 7 · 04:30O. Volynets—61060O. Osadchyi—1112113
WAug 27 · 05:05O. Volynets—134711113O. Osadchyi—111111862
LAug 2 · 09:30O. Volynets—711671O. Osadchyi—11911113
O. Volynets10
LSep 10 · 05:05O. Volynets2.1041160A. Troyan1.671113113LSep 8 · 12:05A. Troyan1.611111113O. Volynets2.208660WSep 8 · 10:35O. Volynets2.101111113Y. Kovshun1.675560LSep 8 · 08:35D. Khairov2.20131189113O. Volynets1.61119111152LSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930LSep 7 · 11:00D. Khairov2.381111113O. Volynets1.537960LSep 7 · 10:00A. Troyan1.801111143O. Volynets1.9146120LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kolesnykov2.1061111113O. Volynets1.67119871WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 10 · 05:35V. Kolesnykov1.61111013113O. Osadchyi2.208121171LSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 09:35O. Osadchyi2.00491112113D. Khairov1.73111171052WSep 8 · 08:05O. Osadchyi5.0071111113A. Troyan1.14119651WSep 8 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.6761211113O. Volynets2.101110761LSep 8 · 05:05O. Osadchyi3.50681181Y. Kovshun1.2811119113WSep 7 · 10:30O. Osadchyi2.5011119143V. Kolesnykov1.509811121LSep 7 · 09:00O. Osadchyi1.8361481182D. Khairov1.831112116113LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi2.25111110832S. Solomko1.57861211113LSep 7 · 06:00O. Osadchyi5.004690A. Troyan1.141111113
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