TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12091055
Played Jun 24Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161412911115––
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Kyrylo Riazanovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 79 set 4, 11-5
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 5–3 Kyrylo Riazanovskyi Kyrylo Riazanovskyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Leonenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 1.91 / Riazanovskyi 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Leonenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #12091055
Leonenko1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 65 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Riazanovskyi1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite29% won 4 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLeonenko5wins
AwayRiazanovskyi3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderLeonenko leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko100%3 of 3
AwayRiazanovskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko3Riazanovskyi5n = 8Riazanovskyi took 5 of 8
S2Leonenko7Riazanovskyi1n = 8Leonenko took 7 of 8
S3Leonenko6Riazanovskyi2n = 8Leonenko took 6 of 8
S4Leonenko3Riazanovskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricLeonenkoRiazanovskyiL − RBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.236.0+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoRiazanovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime565 / 1134 vs 66 / 14249.8%46.5%565 / 1134 vs 66 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonenkoLeonenko 1.91/Riazanovskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Leonenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko—1911113K. Riazanovskyi—17770
LSep 1 · 11:50O. Leonenko—81112862K. Riazanovskyi—1161011113
LAug 28 · 11:50O. Leonenko—981171K. Riazanovskyi—11117113
WAug 21 · 05:50O. Leonenko—91111133K. Riazanovskyi—1174111
WAug 11 · 05:05O. Leonenko—111111113K. Riazanovskyi—791391
LJun 26 · 05:50O. Leonenko—411691K. Riazanovskyi—11911113
WJun 19 · 05:50O. Leonenko—71111133K. Riazanovskyi—1199111
WJun 9 · 06:20O. Leonenko—1111113K. Riazanovskyi—5460
O. Leonenko10
LSep 10 · 12:20O. Leonenko1.5011711752O. Ovsiienko2.50911711113WSep 10 · 10:20F. Voinarovskyi1.4011126101O. Leonenko2.7581411123WSep 10 · 09:20O. Leonenko1.731111113M. Stetsenko2.009790WSep 10 · 08:20K. Klymenko2.1091121162O. Leonenko1.67119117113WSep 10 · 06:50O. Leonenko1.73143615113A. Martyniuk2.001211111372WSep 7 · 11:05K. Klymenko2.10911121152O. Leonenko1.671113103113WSep 7 · 10:05O. Leonenko2.381111133O. Shyshman1.5343110WSep 7 · 09:05O. Leonenko1.50791111113O. Ovsiienko2.5011119772LSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113WSep 7 · 05:35O. Leonenko1.91111155113A. Martyniuk1.8089111152
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.38111111113K. Riazanovskyi1.53413581LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070LJun 3 · 16:50O. Osadchyi2.201111113K. Riazanovskyi1.617890LJun 3 · 14:50S. Skhabitskiy1.61119118113K. Riazanovskyi2.2061121132LMar 25 · 22:50A. Kurtenko1.911111113K. Riazanovskyi1.803840
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