TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110962
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladyslav Stukalov
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141113115118––
Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Kyrylo Riazanovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1195 vs Riazanovskyi 1349
Riazanovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 20% vs Riazanovskyi 0%
Stukalov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Riazanovskyi 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov -4 · Riazanovskyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Riazanovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riazanovskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.38 / Riazanovskyi 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Riazanovskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13110962
Stukalov2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 102 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Riazanovskyi1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovRiazanovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 817 vs 42 / 9250.4%45.7%412 / 817 vs 42 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiazanovskyiStukalov 2.38/Riazanovskyi 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Riazanovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stukalov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Stukalov10
LSep 11 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.63411118102D. Khavanskyi1.44115811123LSep 8 · 18:00V. Mukhin1.331111113V. Stukalov3.255860LSep 8 · 17:00V. Stukalov2.209820S. Hovorunets1.611111113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Stukalov1.671111511102Y. Korotin2.10661113123WSep 8 · 14:30V. Stukalov2.0031211113V. Varchenko1.731110961LSep 8 · 12:30V. Stukalov1.739950S. Semenets2.001111113WSep 7 · 11:50V. Korniichuk1.40116861V. Stukalov2.7561111113LSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113LSep 7 · 09:50V. Stukalov2.5012330M. Stetsenko1.501411113LSep 7 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.5012119792O. Mytsyk1.501061111113
K. Riazanovskyi10
LSep 11 · 06:05K. Riazanovskyi2.00611211102O. Mytsyk1.73118116123LJun 24 · 17:50K. Klymenko1.831111113K. Riazanovskyi1.835970LJun 24 · 16:50K. Riazanovskyi1.73111051392V. Melnykov2.008121111113LJun 24 · 15:50O. Leonenko1.9111149113K. Riazanovskyi1.806121151LJun 3 · 21:20O. Leonenko2.001911113K. Riazanovskyi1.7317770WJun 3 · 20:20A. Kurtenko1.618680K. Riazanovskyi2.201111113LJun 3 · 18:50K. Klymenko2.201112113K. Riazanovskyi1.6141070LJun 3 · 16:50O. Osadchyi2.201111113K. Riazanovskyi1.617890LJun 3 · 14:50S. Skhabitskiy1.61119118113K. Riazanovskyi2.2061121132LMar 25 · 22:50A. Kurtenko1.911111113K. Riazanovskyi1.803840
Upcoming Matches
V. Stukalov
K. Riazanovskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.